Projections

Playoff Odds 2020 Season

May 26, 2020
20 views

Some playoff odds for the 2020 season based on the latest and greatest from my computer projections. Should be pretty self-explanatory. Enjoy!

Season win%Division champMake playoffsConference champCPL champ
Your Mom0.59249.4%97.6%28.3%14.1%
Scared Hitless0.58944.5%97.1%27.9%13.8%
BROB’s Barnacles0.5274.3%65.7%15.5%7.0%
Baby Seals0.5061.8%32.2%7.1%3.1%
 
Tom Cat’s0.50684.4%88.2%18.0%7.5%
Fajita Eaters0.45212.7%16.3%2.7%1.0%
Banocolates0.4142.9%3.6%0.5%0.2%
G.I. Zo’s0.3330.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
 
Motley Shue0.59576.8%99.2%28.0%15.8%
Danimals0.56021.9%89.8%22.9%12.2%
Pro Bowlers0.4760.8%13.0%2.5%1.1%
Kelly’s Heroes0.4670.5%9.2%1.7%0.8%
 
Ball Busters0.52749.2%83.0%20.7%10.9%
Mauling Tigers0.52139.9%76.9%18.8%9.8%
The Big Hurts0.4706.1%15.2%3.1%1.5%
Rollin’ Goats0.4644.8%12.1%2.4%1.2%

And as a bonus, here is the future CPL world series odds I referenced during our last podcast. These are VERY experimental (meaning they hold about 0 value, but it’s still fun). Start with the 2020 projections, apply an aging curve to each player based on peripherals and age, then re-run season statistics. Total each teams WAR and re-run post season probabilities. WS20% is chance to win the CPL world series in 2020. WS21% is chance to win in 2021, etc.

WS20%WS21%WS22%WS23%WS24%
Your Mom14%12%10%10%9%
Scared Hitless14%10%8%7%5%
BROB’s Barnacles7%6%6%6%6%
Baby Seals3%6%7%8%10%
 
Tom Cat’s8%1%2%1%0%
Fajita Eaters1%0%3%4%4%
Banocolates0%0%1%1%3%
G.I. Zo’s0%0%0%0%0%
 
Motley Shue16%17%14%12%11%
Danimals12%9%8%7%5%
Pro Bowlers1%8%9%10%13%
Kelly’s Heroes1%4%6%6%7%
 
Ball Busters11%9%8%7%7%
Mauling Tigers10%8%8%8%7%
The Big Hurts1%5%7%8%9%
Rollin’ Goats1%4%5%6%5%

Share this post

Comments

Leave a comment